
Professor Robert Wood
Macquarie University, Australia
2025-2026 University of St Andrews Global Fellows.
St Andrews University Business School
Leadership studies typically use fixed measures of people and situations in between person analyses and base inferences about leadership behaviour on relationships between group level means. There are many limitations to this approach; group means may not be representative of many group members, group level relations may differ from the same relationships at the individual level (Simpson’s paradox), and leadership behaviours and situations are not fixed. Contingency theories of leadership recognize differences in leadership styles and situations but are subject to the same limitations, which may explain the lack of supporting evidence and decline in contingency leadership studies. In the current study, we use the intrapersonal dynamic personality processes approach and the CAPS model (Mischel and Shoda, 1995) to operationalise a leadership signature, an individual unit of knowledge that captures the contingent relationship between self-evaluations and leader identity, calculated using repeated measures over 36 week. The resulting individual level leadership signatures (N= 227) are then used to predict leadership emergence in initially leaderless student dorm groups (N=37). Results show that (a) changes in leader identify ratings are contingent upon self-evaluations of leader performance, (b) there are stable individual differences in leadership signatures, and (c) individual differences in leader identity signatures are related to leader emergence, based on peer ratings. Strength of the leader identity signature relationship is stronger for those with prior leadership experience. We discuss the potential of using leader identity signatures and related contingent constructs as explanatory mechanisms for leader behaviour and resulting outcomes, such as inclusivity and diversity management, as well as the retesting of older contingency theories of leadership.